Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Hertl 56.8% (-14.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 53.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 69.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Barzal
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
57.0% (718)
-14.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Barzal
Hertl
Home
35.8% (53)
59.2% (463)
Away
49.2% (61)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Barzal
Hertl
P1
44.2%
56.3%
P2
38.5%
55.4%
P3
46.9%
60.5%
Final 5 min
38.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%