Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs Hertl 55.4% (-13.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 67.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Barzal
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
54.1% (717)
-11.8%
On even strength, Hertl has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Barzal
Hertl
Home
28.0% (25)
58.1% (492)
Away
55.6% (27)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Barzal
Hertl
P1
47.4%
57.1%
P2
45.8%
54.0%
P3
22.2%
56.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%