Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Duchene 55.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Cizikas
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Duchene
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Cizikas
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (525)
56.0% (579)
-0.8%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
59.3% (108)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (145)
25.0% (8)
+24.0%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cizikas is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Cizikas shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Duchene
Home
55.5% (353)
54.9% (375)
Away
51.3% (335)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Cizikas
Duchene
P1
53.4%
58.3%
P2
51.4%
56.7%
P3
55.8%
53.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |