Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.3%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Duchene 54.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 65.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Larkin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Larkin
Duchene
Last 6: Larkin 6-0 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
55.4% (1,013)
-2.5%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
56.3% (192)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
41.2% (17)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Larkin shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Larkin
Duchene
Home
55.8% (805)
56.2% (642)
Away
53.2% (782)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Larkin
Duchene
P1
55.2%
56.2%
P2
53.3%
56.5%
P3
55.1%
52.9%
OT
51.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |