Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Haula wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 47.1% vs Duchene 50.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 57.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Haula
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Haula
Duchene
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Haula
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Haula
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
49.4% (933)
-1.4%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
58.7% (104)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (44)
47.6% (21)
-11.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haula is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Haula shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Haula
Duchene
Home
45.5% (178)
51.9% (534)
Away
47.1% (170)
48.7% (524)
By Period
Haula
Duchene
P1
44.6%
51.0%
P2
46.2%
48.8%
P3
47.6%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |