Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Duchene 51.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 69.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 57.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 74.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Draisaitl
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Draisaitl
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
51.4% (319)
+4.5%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
61.5% (52)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Duchene
Home
55.1% (508)
52.3% (176)
Away
58.5% (595)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Draisaitl
Duchene
P1
55.8%
49.6%
P2
55.7%
56.9%
P3
59.0%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Duchene
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |