Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Duchene
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Duchene
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
52.9% (870)
+0.1%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
53.5% (43)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
46.2% (143)
-2.4%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zibanejad
Home
54.9% (408)
55.1% (501)
Away
50.0% (432)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Duchene
Zibanejad
P1
52.5%
57.5%
P2
51.7%
50.7%
P3
53.6%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |