Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.8%). Duchene wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Duchene
Zibanejad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
53.4% (770)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
46.2% (39)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.7% (141)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Duchene shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zibanejad
Home
51.6% (182)
49.0% (429)
Away
52.2% (201)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Duchene
Zibanejad
P1
49.6%
53.0%
P2
56.2%
51.1%
P3
48.6%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%