Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Backlund 50.5% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 82.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 83.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Duchene
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
51.5% (983)
-4.6%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
49.4% (87)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.3% (159)
+54.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Duchene
Backlund
Home
58.4% (125)
51.6% (653)
Away
48.4% (95)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Duchene
Backlund
P1
56.9%
50.0%
P2
52.5%
49.8%
P3
51.9%
51.7%
OT
80.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%