Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Marner 50.8% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.8%
Defensive zone
Marner 78.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Duchene
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
57.1% (7)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
54.5% (11)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Marner is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Duchene
Marner
Home
58.4% (125)
44.4% (9)
Away
48.4% (95)
66.7% (9)
By Period
Duchene
Marner
P1
56.9%
80.0%
P2
52.5%
44.4%
P3
51.9%
33.3%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%