Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +23.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Marner 44.8% (+23.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 52.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 62.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Duchene
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
33.3% (24)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
20.0% (10)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Marner is 23.5% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Duchene
Marner
Home
54.9% (408)
16.7% (18)
Away
50.0% (432)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Duchene
Marner
P1
52.5%
10.0%
P2
51.7%
35.7%
P3
53.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
29.4%