Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +31.5% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Marner 46.6% (+31.5%)
Offensive zone
Marner 51.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 63.1%
Neutral zone
Marner 50.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Duchene
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
33.3% (12)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
0.0% (4)
+22.2%
On even strength, Duchene has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Duchene shoots left. Marner is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Duchene
Marner
Home
56.6% (318)
20.0% (10)
Away
56.4% (319)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Duchene
Marner
P1
57.2%
0.0%
P2
55.1%
57.1%
P3
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
25.0%