Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Barron 47.9% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barron 56.2%
Defensive zone
Barron 56.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.9%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Duchene
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Barron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Duchene
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
45.8% (118)
+10.7%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
100.0% (1)
-38.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
46.7% (15)
-24.5%
On power play, Barron has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Barron is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Duchene
Barron
Home
56.6% (318)
48.4% (64)
Away
56.4% (319)
44.3% (70)
By Period
Duchene
Barron
P1
57.2%
52.1%
P2
55.1%
46.4%
P3
55.6%
37.9%
OT
81.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |