Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 74.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 68.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Duchene
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Duchene
Suzuki
Last 10: Duchene 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
1
Duchene
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
7
Duchene
Suzuki
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
1
Duchene
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
49.4% (6,327)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
50.7% (1,338)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
43.6% (456)
+5.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Duchene
Suzuki
Home
55.6% (6,411)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Duchene
Suzuki
P1
54.5%
48.8%
P2
54.5%
49.1%
P3
53.4%
50.2%
OT
56.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |