Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 50.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 58.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Duchene
Suzuki
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
51.3% (904)
-0.1%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
49.8% (265)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
36.8% (57)
-20.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Duchene shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Duchene
Suzuki
Home
51.6% (182)
50.6% (603)
Away
52.2% (201)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Duchene
Suzuki
P1
49.6%
52.3%
P2
56.2%
47.5%
P3
48.6%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%