Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.9%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 80.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.9%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Duchene
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Duchene
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Duchene
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
47.0% (1,066)
+6.9%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
49.5% (204)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.6% (131)
+53.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +53.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Duchene
Suzuki
Home
54.9% (113)
49.4% (686)
Away
51.4% (146)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Duchene
Suzuki
P1
54.9%
45.6%
P2
52.7%
46.9%
P3
51.9%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
60.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |