Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 64.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 64.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Duchene
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Duchene
Suzuki
Last 6: Duchene 3-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Duchene
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
52.4% (981)
+0.6%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
50.7% (304)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
36.4% (33)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Duchene
Suzuki
Home
54.9% (408)
53.2% (645)
Away
50.0% (432)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Duchene
Suzuki
P1
52.5%
48.9%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
53.6%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |