Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Cates 40.4% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 90.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 75.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 64.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Duchene
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
40.4% (841)
+13.5%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
42.4% (66)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
32.7% (147)
+67.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +67.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Duchene
Cates
Home
54.9% (113)
38.2% (566)
Away
51.4% (146)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Duchene
Cates
P1
54.9%
40.5%
P2
52.7%
42.4%
P3
51.9%
35.3%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |