Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Cates 45.5% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 54.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 57.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Duchene
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
45.4% (712)
+5.8%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
42.2% (102)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.7% (47)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Duchene shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Duchene
Cates
Home
51.6% (182)
46.3% (423)
Away
52.2% (201)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Duchene
Cates
P1
49.6%
46.3%
P2
56.2%
47.1%
P3
48.6%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%