Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.9% vs Acciari 49.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 59.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 87.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 65.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Duchene
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Duchene
Acciari
Last 10: Duchene 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
4
Duchene
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Duchene
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (1,013)
49.9% (337)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.3% (192)
75.0% (4)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
46.8% (62)
-5.6%
On power play, Acciari has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Duchene is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Duchene shoots left. Acciari is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Duchene
Acciari
Home
56.2% (642)
49.1% (167)
Away
54.3% (580)
50.0% (236)
By Period
Duchene
Acciari
P1
56.2%
52.4%
P2
56.5%
51.1%
P3
52.9%
45.6%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |