Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Acciari 53.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 90.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 90.6%
9.4%
90.6%
Duchene
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Duchene
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
55.6% (426)
+0.9%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
0.0% (2)
+61.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
52.1% (146)
-29.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +61.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Duchene shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Duchene
Acciari
Home
56.6% (318)
55.2% (306)
Away
56.4% (319)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Duchene
Acciari
P1
57.2%
55.5%
P2
55.1%
54.3%
P3
55.6%
54.1%
OT
81.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |