Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Acciari 53.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 56.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Duchene
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Duchene
Acciari
Last 7: Duchene 4-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
1
Duchene
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Duchene
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
56.7% (393)
-3.7%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
33.3% (3)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
48.0% (202)
-4.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Duchene
Acciari
Home
54.9% (408)
54.5% (279)
Away
50.0% (432)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Duchene
Acciari
P1
52.5%
56.9%
P2
51.7%
51.4%
P3
53.6%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |