Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.8%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Acciari 53.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 85.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 82.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 82.4%
17.6%
82.4%
Duchene
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Duchene
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Duchene
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
54.5% (532)
-0.6%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
62.5% (8)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.8% (86)
+51.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Duchene
Acciari
Home
54.9% (113)
56.2% (281)
Away
51.4% (146)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Duchene
Acciari
P1
54.9%
53.4%
P2
52.7%
57.1%
P3
51.9%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |