Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.3% vs Acciari 48.2% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 53.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 94.8%
Neutral zone
Acciari 87.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 92.6%
7.4%
92.6%
Duchene
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Duchene
Acciari
Last 7: Duchene 0-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
5
Duchene
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Duchene
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (579)
51.2% (557)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
35.7% (14)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
40.8% (223)
-15.8%
On power play, Duchene has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Duchene is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Duchene shoots left. Acciari is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Duchene
Acciari
Home
54.9% (375)
49.0% (392)
Away
57.5% (320)
47.0% (402)
By Period
Duchene
Acciari
P1
58.3%
52.9%
P2
56.7%
44.7%
P3
53.1%
47.0%
OT
62.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |