Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.9% vs Acciari 52.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 81.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 51.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Duchene
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Duchene
Acciari
Last 5: Duchene 3-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
1
Duchene
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Duchene
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (248)
53.1% (375)
+2.5%
Power Play
45.3% (53)
51.5% (33)
-6.2%
On power play, Acciari has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Duchene is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Duchene shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Duchene
Acciari
Home
54.7% (150)
49.4% (243)
Away
53.0% (151)
55.1% (276)
By Period
Duchene
Acciari
P1
51.1%
50.9%
P2
57.8%
54.7%
P3
52.4%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
53.8%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |