Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +23.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+23.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 82.6%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 70.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Duchene
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
28.6% (192)
+25.3%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
55.6% (9)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
30.8% (13)
+69.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +69.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Duchene
Buchnevich
Home
54.9% (113)
30.4% (112)
Away
51.4% (146)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Duchene
Buchnevich
P1
54.9%
27.7%
P2
52.7%
33.3%
P3
51.9%
27.7%
Final 5 min
60.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
52.9%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
29.9%