Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+15.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Duchene
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
37.0% (211)
+16.0%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
50.0% (10)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
28.6% (7)
+15.2%
On even strength, Duchene has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Duchene
Buchnevich
Home
54.9% (408)
35.6% (87)
Away
50.0% (432)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Duchene
Buchnevich
P1
52.5%
36.3%
P2
51.7%
37.6%
P3
53.6%
38.1%
Final 5 min
53.3%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%