Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs McLeod 47.7% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 84.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 84.0%
16.0%
84.0%
Duchene
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Duchene
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
47.8% (448)
-0.9%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
48.1% (52)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
36.0% (25)
+64.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +64.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Duchene
McLeod
Home
58.4% (125)
46.6% (253)
Away
48.4% (95)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Duchene
McLeod
P1
56.9%
43.9%
P2
52.5%
45.9%
P3
51.9%
52.1%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |