Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs McLeod 48.4% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 79.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 55.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Duchene
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
49.0% (500)
+4.9%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
43.8% (48)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.0% (50)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Duchene
McLeod
Home
54.9% (113)
50.9% (291)
Away
51.4% (146)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Duchene
McLeod
P1
54.9%
44.3%
P2
52.7%
52.4%
P3
51.9%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%