Matt Duchene vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Duchene wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 23-9 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 92.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 96.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 96.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 95.5%
95.5%
4.5%
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
9
(32 meetings)
23
9
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
12
2
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
4
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (706)
39.8% (508)
+17.0%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
60.5% (38)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
20.0% (5)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Duchene shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.6% (488)
42.6% (237)
Away
52.3% (405)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.0%
33.3%
P2
53.7%
45.1%
P3
58.5%
44.6%
OT
46.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |