Matt Duchene vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 84.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
45.4% (527)
+8.5%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
41.2% (17)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.9% (138)
+55.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.9% (113)
46.1% (336)
Away
51.4% (146)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.9%
49.1%
P2
52.7%
45.3%
P3
51.9%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |