Matt Duchene vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 50.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
47.6% (231)
+3.6%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
83.3% (12)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
33.3% (21)
-16.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Duchene shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.6% (182)
51.2% (164)
Away
52.2% (201)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.6%
50.0%
P2
56.2%
46.2%
P3
48.6%
49.5%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%