Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 92.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 90.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Duchene
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
49.2% (901)
+4.7%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
68.2% (22)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.8% (219)
+50.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kuraly
Home
54.9% (113)
51.7% (603)
Away
51.4% (146)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Duchene
Kuraly
P1
54.9%
50.9%
P2
52.7%
49.5%
P3
51.9%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |