Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 91.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 81.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Duchene
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Duchene
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
49.4% (445)
+7.1%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
100.0% (3)
-38.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
41.9% (117)
-19.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kuraly
Home
56.6% (318)
49.2% (248)
Away
56.4% (319)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Duchene
Kuraly
P1
57.2%
48.3%
P2
55.1%
44.7%
P3
55.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |