Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Monahan 46.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 73.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 73.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Duchene
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Duchene
Monahan
Last 6: Duchene 6-0 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
45.9% (908)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
49.1% (108)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
30.0% (20)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Duchene shoots left. Monahan is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Duchene
Monahan
Home
51.9% (534)
48.7% (528)
Away
48.7% (524)
43.1% (508)
By Period
Duchene
Monahan
P1
51.0%
50.1%
P2
48.8%
44.7%
P3
50.6%
42.7%
OT
57.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |