Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.6%). Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 53.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Duchene
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
52.4% (853)
+0.6%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
58.6% (174)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
46.5% (144)
-2.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Duchene
Monahan
Home
54.9% (408)
53.4% (624)
Away
50.0% (432)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Duchene
Monahan
P1
52.5%
53.7%
P2
51.7%
52.4%
P3
53.6%
51.6%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%