Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 50.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 66.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Duchene
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
53.2% (823)
-2.0%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
55.3% (159)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
48.4% (95)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Duchene shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Duchene
Monahan
Home
51.6% (182)
54.6% (529)
Away
52.2% (201)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Duchene
Monahan
P1
49.6%
49.0%
P2
56.2%
55.4%
P3
48.6%
53.6%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |