Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Aho 52.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.1%
Defensive zone
Aho 68.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Duchene
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
51.6% (819)
-4.7%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
58.4% (173)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
46.3% (67)
+53.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Duchene
Aho
Home
58.4% (125)
53.9% (568)
Away
48.4% (95)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Duchene
Aho
P1
56.9%
55.4%
P2
52.5%
51.2%
P3
51.9%
50.9%
OT
80.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |