Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Crosby 55.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 59.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 62.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Duchene
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Duchene
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (319)
53.5% (961)
-2.1%
Power Play
61.5% (52)
64.1% (237)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
64.3% (14)
-47.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Duchene shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Duchene
Crosby
Home
52.3% (176)
56.4% (622)
Away
52.2% (201)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Duchene
Crosby
P1
49.6%
56.0%
P2
56.9%
52.6%
P3
48.6%
58.3%
OT
60.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |