Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Crosby 55.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 61.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Duchene
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Duchene
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
53.7% (984)
-2.5%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
64.7% (241)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
64.3% (14)
-47.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Duchene shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Duchene
Crosby
Home
51.6% (182)
56.9% (649)
Away
52.2% (201)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Duchene
Crosby
P1
49.6%
55.8%
P2
56.2%
53.2%
P3
48.6%
58.7%
OT
60.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |