Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Crosby 56.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 62.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 67.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Duchene
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Duchene
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Duchene
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
56.2% (1,451)
-3.2%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
61.4% (293)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
55.3% (38)
-11.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Duchene
Crosby
Home
54.9% (408)
59.1% (939)
Away
50.0% (432)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Duchene
Crosby
P1
52.5%
54.9%
P2
51.7%
60.8%
P3
53.6%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |