Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Crosby 52.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 68.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 59.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Duchene
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Duchene
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Duchene
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
50.8% (1,169)
-3.9%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
60.2% (261)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.0% (20)
+55.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Duchene
Crosby
Home
58.4% (125)
53.2% (726)
Away
48.4% (95)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Duchene
Crosby
P1
56.9%
51.3%
P2
52.5%
52.1%
P3
51.9%
54.1%
OT
80.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |