Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Johnson 51.4% (-11.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 64.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Duchene
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
63.6% (11)
-10.6%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Duchene
Johnson
Home
54.9% (408)
62.5% (8)
Away
50.0% (432)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Duchene
Johnson
P2
51.7%
85.7%
P3
53.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%