Matt Duchene vs Tyler Johnson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Matt Duchene holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Duchene 54.1% vs Johnson 49.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor Duchene leads 38-19 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone Duchene 90.9%
Defensive zone Duchene 84.6%
Neutral zone Duchene 88.1%
Result Matt Duchene favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Duchene Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
38 - 19 (57 meetings)
38
19
Duchene Johnson
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Johnson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
10
6
Duchene Johnson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
14
9
Duchene Johnson
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
14
4
Duchene Johnson
18 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Duchene
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
54.6% (885)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
42.3% (707)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +6.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Duchene
Johnson
Home
55.6% (6,411)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Duchene
Johnson
P1
54.5%
50.1%
P2
54.5%
50.6%
P3
53.4%
48.4%
OT
56.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%
52.0%
54.2%
Johnson
42.0%
48.0%
49.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 6, 2024 3 01:28 Defensive Matt Duchene
Dec 29, 2023 3 17:54 Offensive Tyler Johnson
Dec 29, 2023 3 03:51 Defensive Tyler Johnson
Dec 29, 2023 2 04:12 Defensive Matt Duchene
Dec 29, 2023 1 17:54 Offensive Matt Duchene
Dec 29, 2023 1 11:54 Defensive Matt Duchene
Feb 9, 2021 3 16:20 Neutral Matt Duchene
Feb 8, 2021 3 15:37 Offensive Matt Duchene
Feb 1, 2021 2 16:48 Defensive Tyler Johnson
Jan 30, 2021 3 08:17 Defensive Tyler Johnson
Jan 30, 2021 2 15:36 Defensive Tyler Johnson
Dec 3, 2019 3 18:32 Defensive Tyler Johnson
Dec 3, 2019 3 03:04 Defensive Matt Duchene
Nov 10, 2018 2 16:47 Defensive Matt Duchene
Nov 4, 2018 2 05:00 Offensive Matt Duchene
Feb 22, 2018 3 18:38 Offensive Matt Duchene
Feb 22, 2018 2 00:00 Neutral Tyler Johnson
Feb 22, 2018 1 14:54 Neutral Matt Duchene
Feb 22, 2018 1 00:00 Neutral Matt Duchene
Jan 6, 2018 3 06:16 Neutral Tyler Johnson