Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Seguin 54.2% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 79.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Duchene
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
55.0% (713)
-1.1%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
56.7% (104)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.2% (53)
+52.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Duchene
Seguin
Home
54.9% (113)
56.2% (443)
Away
51.4% (146)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Duchene
Seguin
P1
54.9%
54.2%
P2
52.7%
52.9%
P3
51.9%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%