Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.6%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 28 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 39-28 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 61.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Duchene
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
28
(67 meetings)
39
28
Duchene
Seguin
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
19
9
Duchene
Seguin
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
8
9
Duchene
Seguin
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
12
10
Duchene
Seguin
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
55.9% (810)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
49.3% (762)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Duchene
Seguin
Home
55.6% (6,411)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Duchene
Seguin
P1
54.5%
52.8%
P2
54.5%
53.3%
P3
53.4%
54.7%
OT
56.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 16, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |