Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.3%). Duchene wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Seguin 55.4% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 61.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Duchene
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
56.9% (478)
-0.4%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
57.4% (54)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
51.3% (76)
-29.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Duchene shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Duchene
Seguin
Home
56.6% (318)
57.4% (317)
Away
56.4% (319)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Duchene
Seguin
P1
57.2%
50.3%
P2
55.1%
60.4%
P3
55.6%
58.0%
OT
81.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%