Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 62.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Duchene
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
53.2% (201)
-2.0%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
60.0% (25)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.4% (9)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Duchene shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Duchene
Seguin
Home
51.6% (182)
56.3% (126)
Away
52.2% (201)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Duchene
Seguin
P1
49.6%
44.3%
P2
56.2%
52.1%
P3
48.6%
62.5%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%