Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Nylander 47.2% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 74.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 62.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Duchene
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
46.0% (50)
+7.9%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
33.3% (6)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Nylander is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nylander
Home
54.9% (113)
40.6% (32)
Away
51.4% (146)
44.4% (27)
By Period
Duchene
Nylander
P1
54.9%
50.0%
P2
52.7%
40.7%
P3
51.9%
35.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |