Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Nylander 49.8% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 58.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 65.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Duchene
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
48.9% (133)
+4.1%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
55.0% (20)
-5.5%
On power play, Nylander has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Nylander is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nylander
Home
54.9% (408)
48.6% (105)
Away
50.0% (432)
52.1% (48)
By Period
Duchene
Nylander
P1
52.5%
52.1%
P2
51.7%
46.3%
P3
53.6%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Nylander
36.0%▼
45.5%
49.7%